New HIV infections are rising in around 50 countries, AIDS-related deaths are not falling fast enough and flat resources are threatening success. Half of all new HIV infections are among key populations and their partners, who are still not getting the services they need

PARIS/GENEVA, 18 July 2018—UNAIDS is issuing countries with a stark wake-up call. In a new report, launched today in Paris, France, at an event co-hosted with Coalition PLUS, UNAIDS warns that the global response to HIV is at a precarious point. At the halfway point to the 2020 targets, the report, Miles to go—closing gaps, breaking barriers, righting injustices, warns that the pace of progress is not matching global ambition. It calls for immediate action to put the world on course to reach critical 2020 targets.

“We are sounding the alarm,” said Michel Sidibé, Executive Director of UNAIDS. “Entire regions are falling behind, the huge gains we made for children are not being sustained, women are still most affected, resources are still not matching political commitments and key populations continue to be ignored. All these elements are halting progress and urgently need to be addressed head-on.”

HIV prevention crisis

Global new HIV infections have declined by just 18% in the past seven years, from 2.2 million in 2010 to 1.8 million in 2017. Although this is nearly half the number of new infections compared to the peak in 1996 (3.4 million), the decline is not quick enough to reach the target of fewer than 500 000 by 2020.

The reduction in new HIV infections has been strongest in the region most affected by HIV, eastern and southern Africa, where new HIV infections have been reduced by 30% since 2010. However, new HIV infections are rising in around 50 countries. In eastern Europe and central Asia the annual number of new HIV infections has doubled, and new HIV infections have increased by more than a quarter in the Middle East and North Africa over the past 20 years.

Treatment scale-up should not be taken for granted

Due to the impact of antiretroviral therapy roll-out, the number of AIDS-related deaths is the lowest this century (940 000), having dropped below 1 million for the first time in 2016. Yet, the current pace of decline is not fast enough to reach the 2020 target of fewer than 500 000 AIDS-related deaths.

In just one year, an additional 2.3 million people were newly accessing treatment. This is the largest annual increase to date, bringing the total number of people on treatment to 21.7 million. Almost 60% of the 36.9 million people living with HIV were on treatment in 2017, an important achievement, but to reach the 30 million target there needs to be an annual increase of 2.8 million people, and there are indications that the rate of scale-up is slowing down.

West and central Africa lagging behind

Just 26% of children and 41% of adults living with HIV had access to treatment in western and central Africa in 2017, compared to 59% of children and 66% of adults in eastern and southern Africa. Since 2010, AIDS-related deaths have fallen by 24% in western and central Africa, compared to a 42% decline in eastern and southern Africa.

Nigeria has more than half (51%) of the HIV burden in the region and there has been little progress in reducing new HIV infections in recent years. New HIV infections declined by only 5% (9000) in seven years (from 179 000 to 170 000) and only one in three people living with HIV is on treatment (33%), although HIV treatment coverage has increased from just 24% two years ago.

Progress for children has slowed

The report shows that the gains made for children are not being sustained. New HIV infections among children have declined by only 8% in the past two years, only half (52%) of all children living with HIV are getting treatment and 110 000 children died of AIDS-related illnesses in 2017. Although 80% of pregnant women living with HIV had access to antiretroviral medicines to prevent transmission of HIV to their child in 2017, an unacceptable 180 000 children acquired HIV during birth or breastfeeding—far away from the target of fewer than 40 000 by the end of 2018.

“One child becoming infected with HIV or one child dying of AIDS is one too many,” said Mr Sidibé. “Ending the AIDS epidemic is not a foregone conclusion and the world needs to heed this wake-up call and kick-start an acceleration plan to reach the targets.”

Key populations account for almost half of all new HIV infections worldwide

The report also shows that key populations are not being considered enough in HIV programming. Key populations and their sexual partners account for 47% of new HIV infections worldwide and 97% of new HIV infections in eastern Europe and central Asia, where one third of new HIV infections are among people who inject drugs.

“The right to health for all is non-negotiable,” said Mr Sidibé. “Sex workers, gay men and other men who have sex with men, prisoners, migrants, refugees and transgender people are more affected by HIV but are still being left out from HIV programmes. More investments are needed in reaching these key populations.”

Half of all sex workers in Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, South Africa and Zimbabwe are living with HIV. The risk of acquiring HIV is 13 times higher for female sex workers, 27 times higher among men who have sex with men, 23 times higher among people who inject drugs and 12 times higher for transgender women.

“Communities are echoing UNAIDS’ call,” said Vincent Pelletier, positive leader and Executive Director of Coalition PLUS. “We need universal access to adapted prevention services, and protection from discrimination. We call upon world leaders to match commitments with funding, in both donor and implementing countries.”

Stigma and discrimination persists

Discrimination by health-care workers, law enforcement, teachers, employers, parents, religious leaders and community members is preventing young people, people living with HIV and key populations from accessing HIV prevention, treatment and other sexual and reproductive health services.

Across 19 countries, one in five people living with HIV responding to surveys reported being denied health care and one in five people living with HIV avoided visiting a health facility for fear of stigma or discrimination related to their HIV status. In five of 13 countries with available data, more than 40% of people said they think that children living with HIV should not be able to attend school with children who are HIV-negative.

New agenda needed to stop violence against women

In 2017, around 58% of all new HIV infections among adults more than 15 years old were among women and 6600 young women between the ages of 15 and 24 years became infected with HIV every week. Increased vulnerability to HIV has been linked to violence. More than one in three women worldwide have experienced physical or sexual violence, often at the hands of their intimate partners.

“Inequality, a lack of empowerment and violence against women are human rights violations and are continuing to fuel new HIV infections,” said Mr Sidibé. “We must not let up in our efforts to address and root out harassment, abuse and violence, whether at home, in the community or in the workplace.”

90–90–90 can and must be achieved

There has been progress towards the 90–90–90 targets. Three quarters (75%) of all people living with HIV now know their HIV status; of the people who know their status, 79% were accessing treatment in 2017, and of the people accessing treatment, 81% had supressed viral loads.

Six countries, Botswana, Cambodia, Denmark, Eswatini, Namibia and the Netherlands, have already reached the 90–90–90 targets and seven more countries are on track. The largest gap is in the first 90; in western and central Africa, for example, only 48% of people living with HIV know their status.

A big year for the response to tuberculosis

There have been gains in treating and diagnosing HIV among people with tuberculosis (TB)—around nine out of 10 people with TB who are diagnosed with HIV are on treatment. However, TB is still the biggest killer of people living with HIV and three out of five people starting HIV treatment are not screened, tested or treated for TB. The United Nations High-Level Meeting on Tuberculosis in September 2018 is an opportunity to bolster momentum around reaching the TB/HIV targets.

The cost of inaction

Around US$ 20.6 billion was available for the AIDS response in 2017—a rise of 8% since 2016 and 80% of the 2020 target set by the United Nations General Assembly. However, there were no significant new commitments and as a result the one-year rise in resources is unlikely to continue. Achieving the 2020 targets will only be possible if investments from both donor and domestic sources increase.

Ways forward

From townships in southern Africa to remote villages in the Amazon to mega-cities in Asia, the dozens of innovations contained within the pages of the report show that collaboration between health systems and individual communities can successfully reduce stigma and discrimination and deliver services to the vast majority of the people who need them the most.

These innovative approaches continue to drive the solutions needed to achieve the 2020 targets. When combination HIV prevention—including condoms and voluntary medical male circumcision—is pursued at scale, population-level declines in new HIV infections are achieved. Oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is having an impact, particularly among key populations. Offering HIV testing and counselling to family members and the sexual partners of people diagnosed with HIV has significantly improved testing access.

Eastern and southern Africa has seen significant domestic and international investments coupled with strong political commitment and community engagement and is showing significant progress in achieving the 2020 targets.

“For every challenge there is a solution,” said Mr Sidibé. “It is the responsibility of political leaders, national governments and the international community to make sufficient financial investments and establish the legal and policy environments needed to bring the work of innovators to the global scale. Doing so will create the momentum needed to reach the targets by 2020.”

In 2017, an estimated:

36.9 million [31.1 million–43.9 million] people globally were living with HIV

21.7 million [19.1 million–22.6 million] people were accessing treatment

1.8 million [1.4 million–2.4 million] people became newly infected with HIV

940 000 [670 000–1.3 million] people died from AIDS-related illnesses

UNAIDS

The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) leads and inspires the world to achieve its shared vision of zero new HIV infections, zero discrimination and zero AIDS-related deaths. UNAIDS unites the efforts of 11 UN organizations—UNHCR, UNICEF, WFP, UNDP, UNFPA, UNODC, UN Women, ILO, UNESCO, WHO and the World Bank—and works closely with global and national partners towards ending the AIDS epidemic by 2030 as part of the Sustainable Development Goals. Learn more at unaids.org and connect with us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube.

The UNAIDS Executive Director, Michel Sidibé, has completed a five-day visit to three countries in southern Africa. The mission included high-level political discussions, the launch of the Lesotho HIV health and situation room and a frank and open dialogue with women activists about how to address sexual harassment and abuse.

Beginning in Lesotho, Mr Sidibé attended the launch of the HIV health and situation room with the Deputy Prime Minister, Monyane Moleleki. Special guest Naomi Campbell was invited by UNAIDS to join the two-day country visit to learn more about the HIV response.

The Lesotho HIV and health situation room shows real-time service delivery data, producing a comprehensive picture and understanding of Lesotho’s HIV epidemic. It enables quick feedback on results at the national and community levels and identifies bottlenecks in access to health-care services.

“The launch of the Lesotho HIV and health situation room gives us access to data to shape impactful and efficient health programmes. These are the kind of innovations that will bring services to those who need them most and ensure that no one is left behind by the AIDS response,” said Michel Sidibé, the UNAIDS Executive Director.

On the eve of the launch, Mr Sidibé and Ms Campbell visited the Queen II Hospital in Maseru, Lesotho, and met with young women living with HIV and others affected by the epidemic.

“I commend the Government of Lesotho and its partners for the progress made in the AIDS response. But the work is far from done. The reality is that we are not reaching adolescent girls and young women. I leave Lesotho today empowered, inspired, encouraged and determined to do all I can to highlight this critical issue,” said Ms Campbell.

In South Africa, Mr Sidibé addressed the Pan African Parliament and underlined the importance of integrated health approaches that were people-centred. He urged parliamentarians to commit more domestic funding for health services to increase the sustainability of the AIDS response and to put in place more preventative measures to improve people’s health. In addition, he called for laws to protect women and vulnerable groups. 

Mr Sidibé left the parliamentary session to meet civil society activists concerned by UNAIDS' response to allegations of sexual harassment and abuse in the organization.

At a follow-up meeting the next day, Mr Sidibé and women activists met to discuss their concerns.

Mr Sidibé agreed with activists to issue a statement following the meeting. The statement begins:

‘During my recent visit to South Africa, I listened carefully to you, I heard you. The HIV epidemic is inextricably linked to sexual and gender-based violence and the two can never be separated. We need the passion of advocates to move issues forward.`

During his visit to South Africa, Mr Sidibé held separate meetings with the President, Cyril Ramaphosa, the Deputy President and South African National AIDS Council Chair, David Mabuza, and the Minister of Health, Aaron Motsoaledi. They discussed plans to increase the number of people on treatment by 2 million by 2020 and the need to empower local and provincial authorities to bring treatment and prevention services closer to vulnerable communities.

The last leg of Mr Sidibé’s visit saw him arrive in Lusaka, Zambia, to confer the 2018 UNAIDS Leadership Award upon Kenneth Kaunda for his efforts in strengthening the AIDS response.  

At the United Nations High-Level Meeting on Ending AIDS in 2016, countries pledged to achieve a set of 10 Fast-Track commitments by 2020—an acceleration agenda that aims to end the AIDS epidemic by 2030 as part of the Sustainable Development Goals. To help ensure that the deadlines are met, the United Nations General Assembly requested an annual report on progress achieved in meeting those 10 commitments.

UNAIDS supports countries to collect information on their national HIV responses through the Global AIDS Monitoring (GAM) framework—an annual collection of 72 indicators on the response to HIV in a country. These data form part of the data set used to report back to the General Assembly.

Different from the HIV epidemiological estimates that countries produce for data on the state of the epidemic in a country—that is, data for making estimates on the number of people living with HIV, AIDS-related deaths, etc.—GAM collects information on HIV programmes, including the number of people living with HIV who know their HIV status and people on HIV treatment, and on stigma and discrimination. A full list of the indicators is given in the GAM guidelines.

A remarkable feature of the data collection for GAM and the HIV epidemiological estimates is the speed with which the information is collected, submitted and disseminated. UNAIDS distributes the GAM guidelines to countries each December. Countries submit their data online by the end of March. In collaboration with the World Health Organization, the United Nations Children’s Fund and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, the data are validated and finalized. The HIV epidemiological estimates are produced along the same timeline, with the software made available to countries in early January and the final estimates submitted by countries at the end of March. The analysis of the global results of both data collections are published in UNAIDS’ mid-year report and on the AIDSinfo website, and ultimately are reported to the United Nations General Assembly.

Despite the short reporting timeline, in 2017 a total of 174 countries submitted data on their programmatic response indicators through GAM. The proportion of countries submitting data through the GAM website has steadily improved, from 53% of countries reporting in 2004 to 96% reporting in 2012, although reporting dropped to 90% in 2017, when the reporting cycle changed from biennial to annual. Before 2015, GAM was known as the Global AIDS Response Progress Reporting (GARPR) and was used to report on global targets for the AIDS response under the Millennium Development Goals.

A key component of ensuring that HIV-related data are as accurate as possible is collecting the right information to begin with. Therefore, each year a review of each indicator is made and adjustments to the set of indicators are made in order to ensure that the information on the national AIDS responses is accurate and relevant. In 2018, two new indicators—on HIV testing among pregnant women and on experiences of HIV-related discrimination in health-care settings—were added, while others were modified.

The indicators are carefully selected in order to ensure the maximum data collection with the least burden on the countries’ monitoring systems and are aligned with the indicators for the Sustainable Development Goals. The indicators are also granular, with countries requested to provide data disaggregated to the city level for some indicators.

Looking to the future, community-led data collection, such as through mobile applications or community observatories, are being looked into as complementary data collection tools for different insights into countries’ AIDS responses.

GAM is yet another way that UNAIDS is helping countries to monitor and respond to their HIV epidemics and work towards ending AIDS by 2030.

Experts from India and around the world recently discussed new ways of carrying out HIV surveillance and making estimates on the HIV epidemic in India.

Opening the consultation, the Director General of Health Services of India, B.D. Athani, said, “Disease surveillance is the stethoscope of a public health professional and an extremely important public health function.”

The consultation heard about in-country pilot projects and other initiatives being planned. Steps being taken to strengthen the quality of data and enable their better use were highlighted, as were efforts that are being made to improve the interface between the various information systems for HIV surveillance.

Technical sessions on HIV surveillance, including the importance of integrated surveillance for HIV, tuberculosis, hepatitis and syphilis, and on making HIV estimates were held throughout the four-day event.

“The use of data is fundamental to enabling an efficient and sustained public health response. Three questions remain critical in this regard: what data shall be collected, how it shall be collected and how it should be used to help the design and implementation of an effective response,” said S. Venkatesh, the Deputy Director General of the Indian National AIDS Control Programme.

During a session on making district-level HIV estimates, the different methods of how estimates could be made were examined. The participants agreed that, for inter-district comparability and consistency, just one method should be used to generate district estimates. Determining the best method would require further analysis of the strengths and limitations of all of them, however.

During the consultation, Bilali Camara, the UNAIDS Country Director for India, noted the importance for the AIDS response of having granular information on locations and populations.

A presentation on key population size estimates included a novel pilot for virtual mapping using social media in an ethical and cost-effective way, which was recognized as the methodology of the future. The consultation also heard that India should collect behavioural information through so-called polling booth surveys—whereby information on behaviours can be collected anonymously—and other innovative approaches.

Sessions on each of the technical areas began with international experts sharing the broad global framework and guidelines. They highlighted approaches adopted by different countries and the practical considerations for each approach. The participants agreed that data from surveillance, estimates and programmes represent different pieces of information that together provide a better perspective on the HIV epidemic and response—each piece is important and should not be seen in isolation.

The consultation was held on 21–24 March in New Delhi, India. It was organized by India’s National AIDS Control Organization in collaboration with UNAIDS, the World Health Organization and the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, whose experts were joined by national experts from the Indian Council of Medical Research institutes and others. Recommendations from the consultation will be compiled into a road map for implementation by the National AIDS Control Programme.

Côte d’Ivoire has become the first francophone country, and the first in western and central Africa, to launch an HIV situation room, a software platform designed to support informed decision-making.

This innovative tool strengthens national information systems through real-time visualization of information from multiple data sets. It will enable leaders and programme managers to make timely decisions to improve health programmes to achieve the 90–90–90 targets, whereby 90% of people living with HIV know their HIV status, 90% of people who know their HIV-positive status are accessing treatment and 90% of people on treatment have suppressed viral loads, by 2020.

The situation room is the result of a collaboration between the Côte d’Ivoire Ministry of Health and Public Hygiene, the United States President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and UNAIDS. It was launched by Raymonde Goudou Coffie, the Minister of Health and Public Hygiene of Côte d’Ivoire, and Michel Sidibé, Executive Director of UNAIDS, on 26 March in Abidjan.

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